EU elections: some key-notes

Starting point: unlikely, these elections are still national. I'd like that any European party should indicate the candidate for the Presidency of the Commission, almost informally, like in Italy before the 'Porcellum' where parties indicate their candidate PMs, even though there wasn't direction election of the PMs.

Germany: the 'grosse koalitione' will loose many consensus, in favour of right and left oppositions. It depends by the success of the extreme left and if the CDU is able to bring people to vote, but I think so. Then, the SPD will decide in which way they will go to next federal elections.

France: low affluence, common to almost all the parties, except the MoDem is supposed to get a good victory, according to internal crisis of the French PS. If Bayrou wants more results, MoDem and the PSF should make a structural alliance.

Italy: the key is the affluence, specifically if the PdL is able to bring their voters. Other parties seem stable.

UK: Labour risks to disappear in favour of the Lib-Dem. Then, Brown has two options: make an alliance with the Lib-Dem for next elections (impossible) or resign and give the leadership to someone else (Ken Livingstone?). I don't think that Conservative will get a clear victory.

Belgium: hard test between unionists and separatists, the second one are united for secession, while the unionists should make a structural right-left alliance to preserve the unity. I'm unable to say many other things.

Poland: if progressists will win, they could become the 'leader' of eastern Europe, otherwhise they will stil introverted and play a role in the EU only to defend their own interests.

Continental keys: Socialists will implode in three main countries (Labour.uk, PS.fr, PD.it) in favour of new oppositions (Lib-Dem.uk, Linke.de, IdV.it, MoDem.fr), which could join even though they are so different and without past experiences.
The real key is the affluence, specifically between right-wing government parties: during such a crisis, are they able to bring people to vote? Answer is yes in Germany, while I'm more doubtful in Italy and France..